Phil
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Name: Phil
Gender: Male


Occupation: Trader
Industry: Investment Management


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MSN: philtse2000@msn.com


Member Since: 7/29/2006

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Saturday, October 07, 2006

Hot pot night at TSTSTST

IMG_1321

 

yeah we had a wonderful hotpot party the other day on thursday..we had so much foood (including those hai li de dongxi (courtesy to coco muhahah i steal your word) and beeer.. 1.heineken  2. haerbin 3. tsingtao 4.pilsner urquell 5.erdinger  6. kingway. thanks for everybody who made it in the party from left to right on the photo Me, jens, stephanie, dick, joe, tony, zhu, and coco!!

 

 


Monday, October 02, 2006

Haven't updated my blog for ages... and these days i m so busy at work.. Our company is setting up a global macro fund and I am taking new shift... weird working hours which requires me to wake up in the wee hours in the morning... 5 oclock!!!!!!! Fortunately my boss subsidises my taxi fees, and you know what, taxi drivers in the very early morning are especially talkative.. they will ask you everything from where you work to what do you do..etc.. and to be polite you would give them answers to entertain them... sucks.. probably it is too boring to be on the taxi for the whole night long... this is Hong Kong.

 


Sunday, July 30, 2006

Beijing Restaurant

Tonite i went to dinner in a Beijing Restaurant in Jordon.. yes it is called Beijing Restaurant it is one of those very old-fashioned classsic ones.. The funny thing is that this resturant is actually located in a very old buildings in which it hosts other things like hourly hotel and .... bothel houses?? haha but the food is good and i can tell it is real authentic beijing food you can rarely find in Hong kOng..we ordered dalu mian zhajian mian, jiang niurou (marinated beef), xiaonongbao (little pork dumplings) and..i forgot.. muhaha courtesy to Mr. Jacky Ma who takes these photos by his brand new Nokia 6XXX cell fon..


A Little Study on Hong Kong Apparel Market

It is so melting damn hot outside (35C!!!) so I choose to stay home today and I did a little study on the Hong Kong apparel market… (yeah you can tell how boring it is today) and here is my little findings which hopefully might give u some insights into the hong kong fashion market.

 

The numbers are those sales figures in hong kong which the listed h.k. apparel companies achieved over the past years. I also put the retail sales value index (retail sales index in nominal term) as compiled by the statistics department so as to give you a general idea of how the retail market has beeen performing. I divided the companies into 3 groups, namely the trendy group, the luxurious group and the basic group. Trendy groups include I.T. (they have many different brands which target youngsters to younger adult e.g. izzue.com i.t. I.T. alnord palmer A.P.C. b+ab double park oh oh oh too many of them please go to CWB and check them out on paterson street and also their new flagship store which sells the bathing ape in central) and Bauhaus (I haven’t bought a single piece of  clothes from them). Luxurious Group includes Joyce and Moiselli (I m not sure if moiselli belongs to this luxurious group.. please tell me ladies) whereas Basic Group includes Giordano, Bossini and Veeko (again I dunno much about this ladies apparel retailer.. but in recent years they also sell cosmetic items under their Colourmix outlets). These companies of course don’t represent the whole picture but I think they are good proxies for analysis.

 

One of the reasons I am doing this study is that intuitively I think the trendy fashions are actually cannibalizing the apparel market. People are no longer satisfied with basic items and they want more fashion elements in their clothes (look at those pretttttty gals in CWB muhahaha) This thought proves to be correct by looking into these sales figures. Sales value of trendy group grows from 941 million to 1666 million from 2001 to 2005, representing a Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) of 15.34%. Luxurious group grows from 621m to 879m (CAGR of 9.04%), more or less the same CAGR of the sales figures of the apparel universe we are tracking (9.47%). Basic group, however, suffered from being cannibalized. Although the dollar amount actually increased over the years, the CAGR of 6.11% is much less than the other players, or the general apparel universe. Their actual $ amount increased, I suspect, are mainly due to more mainland customers are buying (those come to hongkong to travel..).. not sure about that though… more studies have to be done.

 

In conclusion, the h.k. apparal market grows over the past 5 years after the SARS epidemic, as the general economy recovers. Trendy fashion, however, outpaced the others (market share in the whole apparel universe grows from 33% to 41%). it is also conceivable that trendy fashion retailers are better place to invest, if you want to do any...

 

Hong Kong Apparel Universe

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Yearly Revenue ('000)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2005

2004

2003

2002

2001

CAGR

Retail Sales Value Index

 

109.8

102.9

92.8

94.9

99

2.62%

Delta Retail Sales Value Index

6.71%

10.88%

-2.21%

-4.14%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Trendy Group

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

I.T.

999 HK

FY 28Feb

 

1,310,600

1,039,926

812,168

731,983

695,051

17.18%

Bauhaus

483 HK

FY 31Mar

 

355,823

291,665

254,357

237,071

246,584

9.60%

Trendy Group Total

 

1,666,423

1,331,591

1,066,525

969,054

941,635

15.34%

Delta Trendy Group Total

 

25.15%

24.85%

10.06%

2.91%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Luxurious Group

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Moiselli

130 HK

FY 31Mar

 

202,823

217,623

175,626

178,625

174,893

3.77%

Joyce

647 HK

FY 31Mar

 

676,560

566,631

543,911

507,506

447,069

10.91%

Luxurious Group Total

 

879,383

784,254

719,537

686,131

621,962

9.04%

Delta Luxurious Group Total

 

12.13%

8.99%

4.87%

10.32%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Basic Group

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Bossini

592 HK

FY 31Mar

 

1,129,195

1,043,229

834,756

767,334

851,120

7.32%

Giordano

709 HK

FY 31Dec

 

949,000

838,000

726,000

784,000

775,000

5.19%

Veeko

1173 HK

FY 31Mar

 

289,768

294,405

265,740

263,993

241,944

4.61%

Basic Group Total

 

2,367,963

2,175,634

1,826,496

1,815,327

1,868,064

6.11%

Delta Basic Group Total

 

8.84%

19.12%

0.62%

-2.82%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

All Apparel Total

 

 

4,034,386

3,507,225

2,893,021

2,784,381

2,809,699

9.47%

Delta All Apparel Total

 

15.03%

21.23%

3.90%

-0.90%

 

 

Trendy % as of All Apparal

 

41.31%

37.97%

36.87%

34.80%

33.51%

 

 


Saturday, July 29, 2006

Phil Tse's Pilot Site!!!

Inspired by Ms. AA I am trying to figure out how to build up a xanga site.. mmuahah this is my first pilot site and on this website i am going to post everything you might find interesting (or boring) about me.. i suggest you bookmarking my site and check it out from time to time..!!!